Win probability tracking will start when the match kicks off.
Per-fixture 1X2 with market context.
Netherlands are #1 (0W 0D 0L), Japan are #2 (0W 0D 0L).
Best-line margin -1.6%. Shopping across 1 books erases the house edge on this match.
2 market sources averaged.
λ=0.40 (40% market / 60% own, 2 market sources)
Our model agrees on Netherlands but is less confident (38% vs market 48%).
national_team_v1 · ELO 1988 vs 1957 · comp=tournament · form_n=20/20
Netherlands' higher ELO (1988 vs 1957) and significantly more valuable top asset (€200M vs €140M) suggest an edge. Our model gives Netherlands 40%.
Full AI preview available on Pro — covers form, market movement, injury impact and edge assessment.
Goal probability tracking starts at kickoff.