Verified football track record

+12.31% ROIacross 640 verified pre-match picks95% CI +1.80% to +22.82% · priced at odds available when each pick was posted

Football model. Pre-match only. Every pick logged before kickoff, every result settled against official scores, every closing line tracked. Public ledger; nothing hidden.

Settled bets

645

640 priced · since May 4, 2026

ROI

+12.31%

P&L €788 / €6400 staked

95% confidence

+1.8% to +22.8%

on the ROI above

Full pre-match cohort · 1X2 + OU 2.5 · BTTS retired Sep 2026 · actual placed stakes

Head-to-head vs other public models

Matched-window audit

+11.99% ROI

639 settled bets

1X2 + OU 2.5 · €10 flat stake

May 4, 2026Sep 12, 2026·audit Sep 11, 2026

WinnerOdds

+16.48% ROI

305 bets·Sep 11

-4.49pp

SignalOdds

-5.27% ROI

281 bets·Sep 11

▲ +17.26pp

DeepBetting

-7.76% ROI

536 bets·Sep 11

▲ +19.75pp

Forebet

-0.18% ROI

1,136 bets·Sep 2·Sep 3

Forebet claims +12.44% on 1,909 picks. We re-settled their own picks at the best closing price across our books (1,136 of 1,909 we could match). verify ↗

▲ +10.83pp

Betaminic

+10.60% ROI

3,498 bets·Sep 2·Sep 3

▲ +0.05pp

Verify · download fixture-by-fixture picks CSV ↗·per-source picks_*.csv

Every pick is independently verifiable

Full methodology →

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