Japan vs Sweden — World / World Cup | OddsIntel

Matches Value Bets Live Accuracy World Cup Performance Predictions Pricing

Japan vs Sweden — World / World Cup | OddsIntel

Matches/World / World Cup

Japan

Japan

VSThu 25 Jun

Sweden

Sweden

2.153.533.75

Win Probability

Win probability tracking will start when the match kicks off.

OddsIntel Model — Japan vs Sweden

Per-fixture 1X2 with market context.

MED confidence

Our modelAIJapan

51%·27%·22%

Market consensusAIJapan

Japan are #2 (0W 0D 0L), Sweden are #5 (0W 0D 0L).

Pre-match · model vs market

+1.5% margin

Japan

46%

Draw

28%

Sweden

26%

54%·25%·20%

2 market sources averaged.

OddsIntel blended pickAIJapan

52%·27%·21%

λ=0.40 (40% market / 60% own, 2 market sources)

Top drivers

ELO gap — International ELO differential drives the base prior.
Recent form — Last 10 internationals weighted by opponent quality.
Key absentees — Confirmed unavailables (suspensions, injuries) — refreshes at T-60.

Probabilities cap at 70% per CALIBRATION-DISPLAY-CAP. Blend uses λ=0.6 (60% market / 40% own) when ≥3 market sources are present; scaled down proportionally when fewer sources are available.

Next 10 min · Goal probability

Goal probability tracking starts at kickoff.