Win probability tracking will start when the match kicks off.
Per-fixture 1X2 with market context.
Belgium are #1 (0W 0D 0L), Egypt are #2 (0W 0D 0L).
Belgium (49% model chance) holds a 90-point ELO lead over Egypt. The market sees Belgium at 62%, a significant 13-point difference from our model's 24% for Egypt. Watch for Belgium's ability to penetrate Egypt's defense.
3 market sources averaged.
λ=0.60 (60% market / 40% own, 3 market sources)
Our model agrees on Belgium but is less confident (43% vs market 62%).
national_team_v1 · ELO 1925 vs 1834 · comp=tournament · form_n=20/20
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Goal probability tracking starts at kickoff.