Spain vs Saudi Arabia — World / World Cup | OddsIntel

Matches Value Bets Live Accuracy World Cup Performance Predictions Pricing

Spain vs Saudi Arabia — World / World Cup | OddsIntel

Matches/World / World Cup

Spain

Spain

VSSun 21 JunMercedes-Benz Stadium

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

1.1311.0031.00

Win Probability

Win probability tracking will start when the match kicks off.

OddsIntel Model — Spain vs Saudi Arabia

Per-fixture 1X2 with market context.

HIGH confidence

Our modelAISpain

67%·23%·10%

Market consensus

Market data unavailable

OddsIntel blended pick

Spain are #1 (0W 0D 0L), Saudi Arabia are #9 (0W 0D 0L).

Pre-match · model vs market

+0.8% margin

Spain

88%

Draw

9%

Saudi Arabia

3%

AI

Spain

67%·23%·10%

λ=0 until market data lands

Top drivers

ELO gap — International ELO differential drives the base prior.
Recent form — Last 10 internationals weighted by opponent quality.
Key absentees — Confirmed unavailables (suspensions, injuries) — refreshes at T-60.

Probabilities cap at 70% per CALIBRATION-DISPLAY-CAP. Blend uses λ=0.6 (60% market / 40% own) when ≥3 market sources are present; scaled down proportionally when fewer sources are available.

Next 10 min · Goal probability

Goal probability tracking starts at kickoff.