South Korea, with a 133-point ELO advantage, is modeled at 44% to win against Czech Republic. Watch South Korea's top asset, valued at €140M. Model leans South Korea at 44%.
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South KoreaDrawCzech Republic90' · 2-1
36%·31%·33%
2 market sources averaged.
OddsIntel blended pickAISouth Korea
44%·29%·27%
λ=0.40 (40% market / 60% own, 2 market sources)
Lineup-adjusted (T-60)AISouth Korea
46%·28%·26%
Refreshed at T-60 after lineups dropped.
Our model agrees on South Korea but is more confident (46% vs market 36%).
national_team_v1 · ELO 1917 vs 1784 · comp=tournament · form_n=20/20
Top-pick gap: 10 percentage points. Own home 46%, market home 36%.
