Win probability tracking will start when the match kicks off.
OddsIntel Model — Spain vs Cape Verde Islands
Per-fixture 1X2 with market context.
HIGH confidence
Our modelAISpain
70%·22%·8%
Market consensusAISpain
Spain are #1 (0W 0D 0L), Cape Verde Islands are #2 (0W 0D 0L).
Pre-match · model vs market
-1.2% margin
Best-line margin -1.2%. Shopping across 1 books erases the house edge on this match.
Spain
90%
Draw
7%
Cape Verde Islands
3%
70%+·8%·3%
2 market sources averaged.
OddsIntel blended pickAISpain
70%+·20%·7%
λ=0.40 (40% market / 60% own, 2 market sources)
Our model agrees on Spain but is less confident (70% vs market 70%+).
national_team_v1 · ELO 2185 vs 1696 · comp=tournament · form_n=20/20
Top-pick gap: -20 percentage points. Own home 70%, market home 89%.
AI Match Preview
Full preview — PRO
Spain is heavily favored at 73% according to our model, but the market consensus is even higher at 89%. Watch for Spain's ability to break down Cape Verde Islands' defense after their recent string of draws.
Full AI preview available on Pro — covers form, market movement, injury impact and edge assessment.
