Netherlands vs Sweden — World / World Cup | OddsIntel

Matches Value Bets Live Accuracy World Cup Performance Predictions Pricing

Netherlands vs Sweden — World / World Cup | OddsIntel

Matches/World / World Cup

Netherlands

Netherlands

VSSat 20 JunNRG Stadium

Sweden

Sweden

1.684.205.60

Win Probability

Win probability tracking will start when the match kicks off.

OddsIntel Model — Netherlands vs Sweden

Per-fixture 1X2 with market context.

MED confidence

Our modelAINetherlands

54%·27%·20%

Market consensusAINetherlands

Netherlands are #1 (0W 0D 0L), Sweden are #5 (0W 0D 0L).

Pre-match · model vs market

+1.2% margin

Netherlands

59%

Draw

24%

Sweden

18%

62%·22%·15%

3 market sources averaged.

OddsIntel blended pickAINetherlands

56%·25%·19%

λ=0.60 (60% market / 40% own, 3 market sources)

Top drivers

ELO gap — International ELO differential drives the base prior.
Recent form — Last 10 internationals weighted by opponent quality.
Key absentees — Confirmed unavailables (suspensions, injuries) — refreshes at T-60.

Probabilities cap at 70% per CALIBRATION-DISPLAY-CAP. Blend uses λ=0.6 (60% market / 40% own) when ≥3 market sources are present; scaled down proportionally when fewer sources are available.

Next 10 min · Goal probability

Goal probability tracking starts at kickoff.