Paraguay vs Australia — World / World Cup | OddsIntel

Matches Value Bets Live Accuracy World Cup Performance Predictions Pricing

Paraguay vs Australia — World / World Cup | OddsIntel

Matches/World / World Cup

Paraguay

Paraguay

VSFri 26 Jun

Australia

Australia

2.233.353.65

Win Probability

Win probability tracking will start when the match kicks off.

OddsIntel Model — Paraguay vs Australia

Per-fixture 1X2 with market context.

LOW confidence

Our modelAIAustralia

31%·29%·40%

Market consensus

Market data unavailable

OddsIntel blended pick

Paraguay are #4 (0W 0D 1L), Australia are #2 (0W 0D 0L).

Pre-match · model vs market

+2.1% margin

Paraguay

44%

Draw

29%

Australia

27%

AI

Australia

31%·29%·40%

λ=0 until market data lands

Top drivers

ELO gap — International ELO differential drives the base prior.
Recent form — Last 10 internationals weighted by opponent quality.
Key absentees — Confirmed unavailables (suspensions, injuries) — refreshes at T-60.

Probabilities cap at 70% per CALIBRATION-DISPLAY-CAP. Blend uses λ=0.6 (60% market / 40% own) when ≥3 market sources are present; scaled down proportionally when fewer sources are available.

Next 10 min · Goal probability

Goal probability tracking starts at kickoff.