OddsIntel Model — Haiti vs Scotland

Per-fixture 1X2 with market context.

MED confidence

Our modelAIScotland

28%·28%·43%

Market consensusAIScotland

Haiti are #11 (0W 0D 0L), Scotland are #4 (0W 0D 0L).

-2.9% margin

Best-line margin -2.9%. Shopping across 1 books erases the house edge on this match.

Haiti

14%

Draw

22%

Scotland

64%

OddsIntel blended pickAIScotland

24%·26%·50%

λ=0.60 (60% market / 40% own, 3 market sources)

Our model agrees on Scotland but is less confident (43% vs market 65%).

national_team_v1 · ELO 1733 vs 1832 · comp=tournament · form_n=20/20

Scotland is favored by our model at 51% against Haiti, with a significant 10-point model-market gap on Haiti's chances (23% vs 13%).

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