Ecuador vs Curaçao — World / World Cup | OddsIntelVSSun 21 JunArrowhead Stadium
Win Probability
Win probability tracking will start when the match kicks off.
Market consensusAIEcuador
Ecuador are #4 (0W 0D 0L), Curaçao are #2 (0W 0D 0L).
Pre-match · model vs market
-3.2% marginBest-line margin -3.2%. Shopping across 1 books erases the house edge on this match.
2 market sources averaged.
OddsIntel blended pickAIEcuador
60%·24%·17%
λ=0.40 (40% market / 60% own, 2 market sources)
Our model agrees on Ecuador but is less confident (55% vs market 70%+).
national_team_v1 · ELO 1927 vs 1687 · comp=tournament · form_n=20/20
Top-pick gap: -25 percentage points. Own home 55%, market home 80%.Next 10 min · Goal probability
Goal probability tracking starts at kickoff.