OddsIntel Model — USA vs Australia

Per-fixture 1X2 with market context.

MED confidence

Our modelAIUSA

38%·29%·32%

Market consensusAIUSA

USA are #1 (1W 0D 0L), Australia are #2 (0W 0D 0L).

-0.5% margin

Best-line margin -0.5%. Shopping across 1 books erases the house edge on this match.

USA

55%

Draw

25%

Australia

20%

OddsIntel blended pickAIUSA

42%·28%·29%

λ=0.60 (60% market / 40% own, 3 market sources)

Our model agrees on USA but is less confident (38% vs market 54%).

national_team_v1 · ELO 1903 vs 1865 · comp=tournament · form_n=20/20