OddsIntel Model — France vs Senegal

Per-fixture 1X2 with market context.

MED confidence

Our modelAIFrance

52%·27%·22%

Market consensusAIFrance

France are #1 (0W 0D 0L), Senegal are #2 (0W 0D 0L).

-1.2% margin

Best-line margin -1.2%. Shopping across 1 books erases the house edge on this match.

France

67%

Draw

21%

Senegal

12%

OddsIntel blended pickAIFrance

56%·25%·19%

λ=0.60 (60% market / 40% own, 3 market sources)

Our model agrees on France but is less confident (52% vs market 65%).

national_team_v1 · ELO 2096 vs 1899 · comp=tournament · form_n=20/20

France's €1.6B squad faces Senegal's €35M side. Our model projects France at 56% to win, despite market consensus favoring them at 66%.

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