ODDSINTELBeta
Saturday, 23 May 2026 · 18:30 UTC·Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

San Miguel vs Almirante Brown

Result + AI recap · Primera Nacional

Full time

10

San Miguel vs Almirante Brown

The model did not have a settled published pick for this match.

San Miguel

San Miguel

Home

vs

Almirante Brown

Away

Almirante Brown

What the model thought before kickoff

Highest-probability outcome

Almirante Brown 45%

San Miguel win10%
Draw45%
Almirante Brown win45%

Probabilities from our Poisson + XGBoost ensemble. They reflect what the model thinks will happen — not what we'd bet at the current odds. See how accurate the model has been →

How OddsIntel predicts football matches

OddsIntel runs a Poisson + XGBoost ensemble trained on 10+ years of historical match data. The model factors in ELO ratings, recent form, head-to-head record, confirmed lineups + injuries when available, and current market prices. We publish CLV (closing line value) on every value bet — the metric that distinguishes a profitable model from a lucky one.

Accuracy is not the same as profitability. Even an 80%-accurate pick at 1.10 odds loses money long-term. See our live accuracy track record and full methodology.

Live odds + lineups

Open match detail →

Compare 13 bookmaker odds, see confirmed lineups + injuries, track in-play if live.

More Primera Nacional

All Primera Nacional predictions →

Every upcoming Primera Nacional fixture with model probability + value bet status.

Want value bets — not just predictions?

Predictions tell you what we think will happen. Value bets tell you where the bookmaker has it wrong. Free forever for fixtures, scores, and one daily AI value pick.

San Miguel 1-0 Almirante Brown Result + Recap — 23 May 2026 Primera Nacional | OddsIntel