AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
Result + AI recap · Eredivisie
Full time
3–3
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
The model did not have a settled published pick for this match.
AZ Alkmaar
Home
NAC Breda
Away
What the model thought before kickoff
Highest-probability outcome
AZ Alkmaar 40%
Probabilities from our Poisson + XGBoost ensemble. They reflect what the model thinks will happen — not what we'd bet at the current odds. See how accurate the model has been →
How OddsIntel predicts football matches
OddsIntel runs a Poisson + XGBoost ensemble trained on 10+ years of historical match data. The model factors in ELO ratings, recent form, head-to-head record, confirmed lineups + injuries when available, and current market prices. We publish CLV (closing line value) on every value bet — the metric that distinguishes a profitable model from a lucky one.
Accuracy is not the same as profitability. Even an 80%-accurate pick at 1.10 odds loses money long-term. See our live accuracy track record and full methodology.
Live odds + lineups
Open match detail →
Compare 13 bookmaker odds, see confirmed lineups + injuries, track in-play if live.
More Eredivisie
All Eredivisie predictions →
Every upcoming Eredivisie fixture with model probability + value bet status.
Want value bets — not just predictions?
Predictions tell you what we think will happen. Value bets tell you where the bookmaker has it wrong. Free forever for fixtures, scores, and one daily AI value pick.