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Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 17:00 UTC·Estadio de San Mamés

Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo

Result + AI recap · La Liga

Full time

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Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo

The model did not have a settled published pick for this match.

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Home

vs

Celta Vigo

Away

Celta Vigo

What the model thought before kickoff

Highest-probability outcome

Athletic Club 47%

Athletic Club win47%
Draw29%
Celta Vigo win25%

Probabilities from our Poisson + XGBoost ensemble. They reflect what the model thinks will happen — not what we'd bet at the current odds. See how accurate the model has been →

How OddsIntel predicts football matches

OddsIntel runs a Poisson + XGBoost ensemble trained on 10+ years of historical match data. The model factors in ELO ratings, recent form, head-to-head record, confirmed lineups + injuries when available, and current market prices. We publish CLV (closing line value) on every value bet — the metric that distinguishes a profitable model from a lucky one.

Accuracy is not the same as profitability. Even an 80%-accurate pick at 1.10 odds loses money long-term. See our live accuracy track record and full methodology.

Live odds + lineups

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