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Wednesday, 13 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC·Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens vs Paris Saint Germain

Result + AI recap · Ligue 1

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Lens vs Paris Saint Germain

The model did not have a settled published pick for this match.

Lens

Lens

Home

vs

Paris Saint Germain

Away

Paris Saint Germain

What the model thought before kickoff

Highest-probability outcome

Lens 42%

Lens win42%
Draw23%
Paris Saint Germain win35%

Probabilities from our Poisson + XGBoost ensemble. They reflect what the model thinks will happen — not what we'd bet at the current odds. See how accurate the model has been →

How OddsIntel predicts football matches

OddsIntel runs a Poisson + XGBoost ensemble trained on 10+ years of historical match data. The model factors in ELO ratings, recent form, head-to-head record, confirmed lineups + injuries when available, and current market prices. We publish CLV (closing line value) on every value bet — the metric that distinguishes a profitable model from a lucky one.

Accuracy is not the same as profitability. Even an 80%-accurate pick at 1.10 odds loses money long-term. See our live accuracy track record and full methodology.

Live odds + lineups

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