Austria faces Jordan in the group stage, with our model giving Austria a 48% chance of victory and Jordan 26%. This contrasts sharply with the market consensus, which places Austria at 66% and Jordan at 13%, an 18-point disagreement on Jordan's prospects. Austria holds a slight edge in International ELO, 1859 to 1820, and boasts a top asset valued at €70M. Both teams are coming off draws in their last five matches. Watch for how Austria's higher market valuation translates on the pitch against Jordan's defensively solid approach. Model leans Austria at 48%, but the draw is live at 26%.