Canada

Group BFIFA rank: —

Model ELO

1874

Group B4 teams · 6 fixtures

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1Bosnia & Herzegovina	1	0	1	0	0	1
2Canada	1	0	1	0	0	1

Fixtures

3 matches

1–1

Canada

Bosnia & Herzegovina

57%·25%·18%

Recent form

last 6 internationals

D1-1vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
D1-1vs Rep. Of Ireland
W2-0vs Uzbekistan
W2-0vs Venezuela
D

AI summary for Canada arrives before the tournament — strengths, weaknesses, key players.

AI preview

Canada enters their 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage opener against Bosnia & Herzegovina as the favorite, according to our blended model which gives them 57% to win. This aligns with the market consensus, which places Canada at 65%. The ELO ratings also favor Canada, with a 243-point advantage (1874 vs 1632), and their squad market value is 1.6 times that of Bosnia & Herzegovina (€281M vs €170M). Despite both teams' top assets being valued at €40M, Canada's deeper resources are evident. A key factor to watch will be how Bosnia & Herzegovina's recent run of five consecutive draws (DDDDD) holds up against Canada's current three-draw streak (DDD). Model leans Canada at 57%, but the draw is live at 25%.

62%·23%·16%

AICanada

AI preview

Canada enters their home opener against Qatar with a statistically significant edge according to our blended model, which gives Canada 61% win probability. This contrasts sharply with market consensus, which places Canada at 82%, a 21-point difference that highlights a notable discrepancy in evaluating Qatar's chances. Canada's superior International ELO of 1874 to Qatar's 1660 reinforces their favored status. Watch for Canada's offensive pressure, driven by their €40M star asset, to test Qatar's defense, which has drawn its last 5 matches. Model leans Canada at 61%, but the draw is live at 23%.