Iran enters their group stage match against New Zealand with a discernible edge, supported by an International ELO rating advantage of 178 points. Our blended model gives Iran a 52% chance of victory, slightly less than the market consensus which places Iran at 60%. While recent international form shows identical recent results for both sides (DD for Iran, D for New Zealand), Iran's higher ELO suggests a controlled performance. Focus on Iran's attacking structure, as their top asset is valued at €8M. Model leans Iran at 52%, but the draw is live at 27%.