Sweden enters their group stage match against Tunisia holding a significant edge according to our blended model, which gives them a 41% chance of victory. This contrasts with the market consensus, which places Sweden at 49%. Sweden's squad market value stands at €404M, a substantial 190.2x larger than Tunisia's €2M, and their International ELO is 26 points higher at 1761. Both nations enter with identical recent international form (DD). A key element to watch will be how Tunisia's €850k top asset copes against Sweden's reportedly €85M top player. Model leans Sweden at 41%, but the draw is live at 29%.