Uzbekistan faces Colombia in their 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage opener. Our model gives Uzbekistan 27% and Colombia 44% to win, with a 28% probability for a draw. Colombia enters with a significant 111-point International ELO advantage (1974 vs 1863) and boasts a top asset valued at €200M. Both teams drew their most recent international fixture. Watch for Colombia's ability to leverage their higher-rated squad and star player's impact. Model leans Colombia at 44%, but the draw is live at 28%.