Norway enters this Group Stage fixture against Iraq as a substantial favorite, reflected by both our blended model and market consensus. Our model gives Iraq just a 17% chance of winning, with Norway at 61%, while the market consensus sees Norway at 79%. This represents a significant 11-point disagreement regarding Iraq's prospects. Norway's squad value, €311M compared to Iraq's €15M (20.8x difference), and a 197-point ELO advantage (1943 vs 1746) underscore this disparity. Watch for Norway's attack to dominate possession, given Iraq's recent form of one draw in their last five matches versus Norway's two draws. Model leans Norway at 61%, but the draw is live at 23%.