- Kick-off
- Venue
- Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Everton win. Logged 14 Oct, 17:33 UTC, never edited.
What happened
Everton 0–2 Chelsea. We said Everton win 2–1: Wrong result, 0 points.
- Pedro Neto scored both Chelsea goals, on 46' and on 90'. We named João Pedro against James Tarkowski as the duel to watch, and said Thierno Barry could win it for Everton at home. João Pedro did not score, but Chelsea still scored twice, and Everton did not score at all.
- Chelsea had 18 shots to 6 and 7 on target to 5, with 53% of the ball. What we got right: Chelsea scored, as we expected. Where we were wrong: the result; we said Everton would keep it tight and score twice at home, and Chelsea kept a clean sheet.
Before the match: our preview
In 30 seconds
- Everton have not lost in their last ten games and sit fifth, level on 10 points with Chelsea.
- Chelsea scored 14 goals in their last five games and let in 11.
- Chelsea will score at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, and it still will not be enough.
The story
David Moyes's Everton have not lost a game since the season began. Six league games have brought two wins and four draws, and they are fifth on 10 points. Count every game we hold and the run is ten without defeat, back to a pre-season win at Newcastle on 12 Aug. Moyes was still unhappy after the 2–2 at Hull on Sun 11 Oct, saying his side should have won. It has been a strange week off the pitch: on Fri 9 Oct the Friedkin Group said it was open to selling the club, and Moyes said he "only found out this morning myself along with everybody else." The summer also took Iliman Ndiaye, sold to Manchester City on deadline day, and brought Jack Grealish in on loan from City.
Xabi Alonso, in his first season at Chelsea, has a side that does the opposite. Chelsea scored 29 goals in their last ten games, including 6–3 against Leeds in the League Cup and 4–3 against Brighton, and they conceded in nine of those ten. Before the international break Sky Sports counted 21 Premier League games since their last clean sheet, and Bournemouth still scored at Stamford Bridge in the 5–1 win on Sat 10 Oct. Chelsea are sixth, level on points with Everton and with Brentford in fourth. The winner here moves to 13.
This decides it: João Pedro against James Tarkowski. João Pedro scored twice against Bournemouth and has seven in Chelsea's last ten. Tarkowski and Michael Keane were the centre-backs at Hull, with Jarrad Branthwaite moved to left-back because Vitalii Mykolenko was hurt. Everton have let in four goals in their last five games, and the question is whether that holds against João Pedro, Palmer and Rogers.
Form
Three clean sheets in their last five.
Both league defeats came away from home.
The games, with scores
| Everton | 11 Oct | at Hull CityPL | D 2–2 |
| 19 Sep | v IpswichPL | W 1–0 | |
| 16 Sep | v WolvesLC | W 1–0 | |
| 12 Sep | at TottenhamPL | D 0–0 | |
| 6 Sep | v Manchester UnitedPL | D 2–2 | |
| Chelsea | 10 Oct | v BournemouthPL | W 5–1 |
| 18 Sep | at BrentfordPL | L 0–3 | |
| 12 Sep | v Hull CityPL | D 2–2 | |
| 9 Sep | v LeedsLC | W 6–3 | |
| 6 Sep | at ArsenalPL | L 1–2 |
Latest first. Latest on the left. PL = Premier League, LC = League Cup. OddsIntel match database, read 14 Oct 2026.
Team news
Checked Wed 14 Oct 15:15 UTC: evertonfc.com, Sky Sports and BBC Sport (Moyes after Hull) for Everton, with Goodison News; Sky Sports and football.london (Alonso on James) for Chelsea. Reported = not yet confirmed by the club. Line-ups: confirmed about an hour before kick-off; they go under Updates. We don't publish guessed XIs.
Two of Everton's leading scorers did not start at Hull. Tyrique George, who joined permanently from Chelsea in July and so can play against his old club, began on the bench and came on for Brennan Johnson after 66 minutes; no reason was given by Sky Sports or the BBC. Iliman Ndiaye scored twice before he was sold to Manchester City on 1 Sep. Thierno Barry and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, who scored Everton's goals at Hull, both started. All of Chelsea's top three, João Pedro, Rogers and Cole Palmer, started against Bournemouth.
Chelsea 3-4-2-1 · v Bournemouth, 10 Oct
- Martínez
- AcheampongLacroixColwill
- NetoHendersonCaicedoChavarria
- PalmerRogers
- João Pedro (key battle)
- Barry
- GrealishDewsbury-HallJohnson
- ArmstrongGarner
- BranthwaiteKeaneTarkowski (key battle)Maitland-Niles
- Pickford
Everton 4-2-3-1 · at Hull City, 11 Oct
Both last XIs on a pitch
Chelsea 3-4-2-1 · v Bournemouth, 10 Oct
- Martínez
- AcheampongLacroixColwill
- NetoHendersonCaicedoChavarria
- PalmerRogers
- João Pedro (key battle)
- Barry
- GrealishDewsbury-HallJohnson
- ArmstrongGarner
- BranthwaiteKeaneTarkowski (key battle)Maitland-Niles
- Pickford
Everton 4-2-3-1 · at Hull City, 11 Oct
Who to watch
The duel to watch: João Pedro against James Tarkowski. João Pedro led Chelsea's line against Bournemouth with Palmer and Rogers just behind him. When he drops deep, Tarkowski has to decide whether to follow him. If he steps out, Palmer and Rogers can run into the gap behind; if he stays, João Pedro gets time to turn. Everton's two holding midfielders, James Garner and Harrison Armstrong at Hull, are there to close that space.
Everton
Thierno Barry
Everton's top scorer over their last ten, and on the scoresheet again at Hull.
- 7
- goals, Everton's last 10
Chelsea
Cole Palmer
Plays off João Pedro and started against Bournemouth.
- 4
- goals, Chelsea's last 10
Goals in each side's last ten games, all competitions. OddsIntel match database, read 14 Oct 2026.
Head-to-head
Everton won the last meeting 3–0 at home in March. Before that, Chelsea won three of four, including 6–0 in London in April 2024.
All 5 meetings
Result for Everton. The last five meetings. OddsIntel match database, read 14 Oct 2026.
Numbers that matter
Goals scored, last ten: Everton 17, Chelsea 29 (higher is better)
Chelsea score far more, eight of them in two League Cup games.
Goals conceded, last ten · fewer is better: Everton 7, Chelsea 20 (lower is better)
Everton let in fewer than half as many as Chelsea.
Clean sheets, last ten: Everton 5, Chelsea 1 (higher is better)
Chelsea's one came against Luton in the League Cup.
Last ten games each, all competitions, to 11 Oct. OddsIntel match database, read 14 Oct 2026.
Our call, explained
We have Everton winning 2–1. They keep games tight: half of their last ten ended with a clean sheet, and Barry has 7 of their 17 goals in that run. Chelsea are the better attacking side, and we expect João Pedro or Palmer to score. But Chelsea gave up three at Brentford on 18 Sep and three to Brighton and Leeds at Stamford Bridge, and Everton, at home, have the striker to punish a back line that has gone so long without a Premier League clean sheet.
What could undo it. If Reece James is fit and Palmer finds space between Everton's lines, Chelsea have enough goals to win by two. The other way, Everton have drawn four of their six league games; if they sit deep and Chelsea's forwards are quiet, a 1–1 draw is more likely than a bigger Everton win.
Updates
17 Oct, 17:12 CEST
Full time: Everton 0–2 Chelsea (Neto 46', 90'). Our 2–1 call: wrong result. See What happened.
Next: nothing further; this match is finished.
Data note: results, scorers, the table and line-ups from our database, read 14 Oct 08:40 UTC, so the counts run to Everton's game of 11 Oct and Chelsea's of 10 Oct. Each side's last ten include two pre-season friendlies. Team news and match details from evertonfc.com, Sky Sports, BBC Sport, Goodison News, football.london and the Premier League (match officials, Matchweek 7).
Our call was timestamped by an independent service before kick-off, Wed 14 Oct, 17:40 UTC.
How the timestamp works
Timestamped before kick-off by an independent service (DigiCert, RFC 3161), Wed 14 Oct, 17:40 UTC. The call file is the exact version that was timestamped. The file with our call and its timestamp token: call file · timestamp. Its fingerprint (sha256):
f4a03d6527591ddd95807f399d1c880800b842e7f3f207b61263fc2a34fc3be8
Our calls so far
- calls right
- 27/42
- home win every time
- 19/42