Previews · Bundesliga ·
Freiburg vs Bayern: Freiburg have won all three home league games
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg
Bayern München win. Logged 24 Oct, 15:10 UTC, never edited.
What happened
SC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München. We said Bayern win 2–1: Right result, wrong score, 10 points.
- Dayot Upamecano put Bayern ahead on 16', from Michael Olise's pass, and Serge Gnabry made it 2–0 on 42', set up by Nathaniel Brown. Freiburg's goal was an own goal by Tom Bischof on 82', and Olise made it 3–1 on 90+5'. We said Harry Kane v Matthias Ginter; Kane did not score or set up a goal, and Bayern's goals came from Upamecano, Gnabry and Olise. We said it would turn on whether Ginter and Freiburg's centre-backs could keep Kane quiet; Kane did not score, and Bayern scored three anyway.
- Both sides had 17 shots, but Bayern had 9 on target to 5 and 56% of the ball. What we got right: Bayern won. Where we were wrong: we expected Kane to make the difference and a one-goal margin; Bayern won by two. We also expected Freiburg to score; their only goal was an own goal.
Before the match: our preview
In 30 seconds
- Freiburg are third, a point behind leaders Bayern after six games; a home win takes them above Bayern.
- Vincent Kompany collapsed at a Bayern training session on Fri 23 Oct and is in hospital; his assistant Aaron Danks takes the team to Freiburg.
- Even without Kompany, Luis Díaz and probably Joshua Kimmich, Bayern have enough to win in Freiburg.
The story
Bayern travel to Freiburg without their head coach. Vincent Kompany collapsed while watching the reserve team train on Fri 23 Oct and was taken to hospital. Max Eberl said on Sat 24 Oct that Kompany is stable and that his recovery will be measured in weeks rather than days. Aaron Danks, his assistant, leads the team on Sun 25 Oct with the rest of the staff, and said they will not burden Kompany with football while he recovers.
The game itself is first against third. Bayern have 14 points from six games and lead Borussia Dortmund only on goal difference; Julian Schuster's Freiburg have 13 and would go above them with a win. Freiburg have been strong at the Europa-Park-Stadion: all three home league games won, 11 goals scored and two conceded. But they arrive on two defeats, 1–2 at Leverkusen on Sun 18 Oct and 0–3 at Monaco in the Conference League on Thu 22 Oct, and Schuster admitted the week had not given his side a better feeling for Sun 25 Oct.
Bayern are unbeaten in their last ten in all competitions, yet the away games have been harder. They drew 2–2 at Augsburg and 0–0 at Schalke in the league, 3–3 at Viking in the Champions League, and they lost Luis Díaz to a hamstring injury in the 2–2 draw with Arsenal on Wed 21 Oct.
This decides it: whether Matthias Ginter and Freiburg's centre-backs can keep Harry Kane quiet. Kane set up Alphonso Davies and scored a penalty against Arsenal, and Bayern have scored 36 goals in their last ten.
Form
Three wins at home, then two away defeats in four days.
Two wins and three draws, and goals conceded in each of the last four.
The games, with scores
| SC Freiburg | 22 Oct | at MonacoECL | L 0–3 |
| 18 Oct | at Bayer LeverkusenBL | L 1–2 | |
| 15 Oct | v FK JablonecECL | W 3–2 | |
| 11 Oct | v FC Schalke 04BL | W 2–1 | |
| 3 Oct | v FC LuzernFR | W 4–2 | |
| Bayern München | 21 Oct | v ArsenalUCL | D 2–2 |
| 17 Oct | v RB LeipzigBL | W 6–1 | |
| 13 Oct | at VikingUCL | D 3–3 | |
| 10 Oct | at FC AugsburgBL | D 2–2 | |
| 18 Sep | v Union BerlinBL | W 7–0 |
Latest first. Latest on the left. BL = Bundesliga, UCL = Champions League, ECL = Conference League, FR = friendly. OddsIntel match database, read 24 Oct 2026.
Team news
Checked Sat 24 Oct 09:50 UTC: scfreiburg.com (preview and match reports) and Bundesliga.com (matchday 7 preview) for Freiburg; Bundesliga.com (Díaz, the Arsenal report, Kompany, the matchday 7 preview), fcbayern.com and kicker for Bayern. Reported = not yet confirmed by the club for this game. Line-ups: confirmed about an hour before kick-off; they go under Updates. We don't publish guessed XIs.
Derry Scherhant, who scored Freiburg's goal at Leverkusen, is not injured: he was left out of the side at Monaco and came on for Vincenzo Grifo after 62 minutes. Díaz's injury is the one that hurts most: he has 4 goals in Bayern's last ten, as many as Kane. Both line-ups are each side's last, from Wed 21 Oct and Thu 22 Oct, and neither is a prediction: Freiburg's had Engelhardt in it, Bayern's was without Kimmich.
Bayern 4-2-3-1 · v Arsenal, 21 Oct
- Neuer
- LaimerUpamecanoKimStanišić
- PavlovićBischof
- GnabrySaibariDavies
- Kane (key battle)
- Matanović
- GrifoSuzukiBeste
- EngelhardtEggestein
- MakengoRosenfelderGinter (key battle)Kübler
- Backhaus
SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1 · at Monaco, 22 Oct
Both last XIs on a pitch
Bayern 4-2-3-1 · v Arsenal, 21 Oct
- Neuer
- LaimerUpamecanoKimStanišić
- PavlovićBischof
- GnabrySaibariDavies
- Kane (key battle)
- Matanović
- GrifoSuzukiBeste
- EngelhardtEggestein
- MakengoRosenfelderGinter (key battle)Kübler
- Backhaus
SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1 · at Monaco, 22 Oct
Who to watch
The duel to watch: Harry Kane against Matthias Ginter. Kane likes to drop deep to link the play, and Ginter will probably be the centre-back asked to follow him. If Ginter goes with him, the space behind opens for Serge Gnabry and Alphonso Davies; if he stays, Kane has time to turn and shoot.
Bayern München
Harry Kane
Set up Davies and scored a penalty against Arsenal on Wed 21 Oct.
- 4
- goals, Bayern's last 10
Bayern München
Alphonso Davies
Started in attack against Arsenal and scored; with Díaz out, he may stay there.
- 1
- goals, Bayern's last 10
SC Freiburg
Maximilian Eggestein
Freiburg's midfield anchor, and more important still if Engelhardt is missing beside him.
- 2
- goals, Freiburg's last 10
Goals in each side's last ten games, all competitions and friendlies, where we hold the scorer. OddsIntel match database, read 24 Oct 2026.
Head-to-head
Our records hold six meetings since 2023; here are the latest five. Bayern won four of them, but Freiburg scored in all three played in Freiburg.
All 5 meetings
Result for SC Freiburg. Five most recent of six Freiburg v Bayern meetings in our records since 2023. OddsIntel match database, read 24 Oct 2026.
Numbers that matter
Goals scored, last ten: SC Freiburg 26, Bayern München 36 (higher is better)
Bayern scored five or more four times in their ten.
Goals conceded, last ten · fewer is better: SC Freiburg 14, Bayern München 11 (lower is better)
Close, and both sides have conceded in each of their last four.
Clean sheets, last ten: SC Freiburg 2, Bayern München 3 (higher is better)
Freiburg's last one was a 5–0 against Mönchengladbach on Sat 12 Sep.
Last ten games each, all competitions and friendlies. OddsIntel match database, read 24 Oct 2026.
Our call, explained
Our call: Bayern win 2–1. We think Freiburg score: they have been at their best at home this season, and they scored in each of the last three meetings in Freiburg. But Bayern have more ways to win the game. Kane is in the side, Davies and Gnabry give them width, and even without Kimmich they held Arsenal. We expect Kane to find the extra goal.
Where this could go wrong. Bayern have drawn three of their last five away games in all competitions, and without Kompany, Díaz and perhaps Kimmich, a 1–1 or 2–2 is the likelier miss. If Engelhardt and Lienhart are fit, Freiburg have the home form to win it and go above Bayern. If Freiburg's tired legs from Thu 22 Oct tell, Bayern could win by more, as they did in Munich last November.
Updates
25 Oct, 20:15 CET
Full time: SC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München (Upamecano 16', Gnabry 42', Bischof own goal 82', Olise 90+5'). Our 2–1 call: right result, wrong score. See What happened.
Next: nothing further; this match is finished.
Data note: results, scorers, the table and line-ups from our database, read 24 Oct 07:40 UTC, so the counts run to Freiburg's game at Monaco on 22 Oct and Bayern's against Arsenal on 21 Oct. Freiburg's last ten include a friendly against FC Luzern on 3 Oct. Each player's goal total is a floor, because many goals in our records have no scorer attached. Team news, the referee and match details from scfreiburg.com, Bundesliga.com, fcbayern.com and kicker.
Our call was timestamped by an independent service before kick-off, Sat 24 Oct, 15:40 UTC.
How the timestamp works
Timestamped before kick-off by an independent service (DigiCert, RFC 3161), Sat 24 Oct, 15:40 UTC. The call file is the exact version that was timestamped. The file with our call and its timestamp token: call file · timestamp. Its fingerprint (sha256):
2c710c737d9427283f6686991097934fdc998ef397ddc3ec656a709ec5613c39
Our calls so far
- calls right
- 27/42
- home win every time
- 19/42