Spain vs Czechia: nine wins in a row, against a side with three goals in five
UEFA Nations League · League A, Group C · Matchday 3
Spain
20:45
Czechia
- Kick-off
- Sat 3 Oct · 20:45 CEST · 19:45 UK
- Venue
- Estadio Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Our call
Spain win
Our score: Spain 2–0 Czechia
Spain have won nine in a row and kept clean sheets in seven of their last ten. Czechia have not won in five and scored three goals in that run, so we expect Spain to win without conceding.
High confidence: we'd expect Spain to win about two times in three. Logged 1 Oct, 09:30 CEST and never edited. See Updates.
In 30 seconds
- Spain have won their last nine games, the World Cup final against Argentina included, and kept seven clean sheets in ten.
- Czechia have not won in five, with four defeats, and scored three goals in that run.
- Spain have six points and Czechia none. A Spain win puts them on nine, at least three points clear of everyone else.
The story
Ladislav Krejčí started at centre-back on Tuesday, and he is Czechia's top scorer: three of their 17 goals in their last ten games. On Saturday in Oviedo he faces Mikel Oyarzabal, who has six of Spain's 21, for a Spain side that has won nine games in a row.
| Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Spain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2England | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3Croatia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 4Czechia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Spain have six points and Czechia none. Croatia and England play each other earlier on Saturday. OddsIntel match database, read 1 Oct 2026.
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Spain won 3–2 in England, then beat Croatia 4–1 at home on Tuesday. Czechia lost both of their home games, 2–1 to Croatia and 2–0 to England. Their last win was 3–1 against Guatemala in a friendly on 5 June.
This is where we think it is decided: Czechia do not score enough to trouble Spain. They have three goals in their last five games, and Spain have kept clean sheets in seven of their last ten. Spain did concede in both Nations League games, three goals in all, and that is the one crack Czechia can aim at.
Form
Spain
- Latest · 29 SepW4–1v CRONL
- 26 SepW3–2at ENGNL
- 19 JulW1–0v ARGWC final aet
- 14 JulW2–0v FRAWC
- 10 JulW2–1v BELWC
Five wins, 12 scored and 4 conceded, and nine wins in a row in all. Their last game without a win was a 0–0 with Cape Verde at the World Cup in June.
Czechia
- Latest · 29 SepL0–2v ENGNL
- 26 SepL1–2v CRONL
- 25 JunL0–3v MEXWC
- 18 JunD1–1v RSAWC
- 12 JunL1–2v KORWC
One draw, four defeats, 3 scored and 10 conceded. They conceded in all five.
Latest on the left. WC = World Cup (neutral venues), NL = Nations League, aet = after extra time. OddsIntel match database, read 1 Oct 2026.
Team news
Spain
No team news in our data yet. We will add it under Updates, not guess it.
Czechia
No team news in our data yet. We will add it under Updates, not guess it.
Line-ups: confirmed about an hour before kick-off. They'll go under Updates. We don't publish guessed XIs.
Our data feed carries no injury news for this game. That is not the same as no injuries, so we say nothing until it is confirmed.
Czechia 4-2-3-1 · v England, 29 Sep
- Kovář
- ChaloupekHranáčKrejčí (key battle)Sláma
- SadílekČerv
- RadostaŠulcKarabec
- Hložek
- BaenaOyarzabal (key battle)Yamal
- Fabián RuizZubimendiFermín
- CucurellaHuijsenCubarsíPubill
- Unai Simón
Spain 4-3-3 · v Croatia, 29 Sep
The key battle, and who else to watch
The key battle
Spain
Mikel Oyarzabal
Czechia
Ladislav Krejčí
- 6
- goals
- 3
Goals in each team's last 10 games, all competitions
Oyarzabal: led Spain's attack against Croatia on Tuesday, and has six of their 21 goals in their last ten, more than any other Spain player.
Krejčí: started in the middle of Czechia's back four against England, and is their top scorer in our data: three of their 17 goals in their last ten.
Krejčí has to stop Spain's top scorer and is also Czechia's top scorer. If Spain keep him busy in his own box, Czechia lose their likeliest goal.
Spain
Lamine Yamal
Started on the right against Croatia. His four goals in Spain's last ten are second only to Oyarzabal's.
- 4
- goals, Spain's last 10
Czechia
Adam Karabec
Started on the left behind Hložek against England, and has two of Czechia's goals in their last ten, level with Patrik Schick and Tomáš Chorý.
- 2
- goals, Czechia's last 10
Goals in each team's last 10 games, all competitions; a player may not have played in all ten. OddsIntel match database, read 1 Oct 2026.
Head-to-head
Our database holds three meetings, back to 2016: two Spain wins and a draw. Czechia drew 2–2 with Spain in Prague in June 2022; Spain won the return in Málaga 2–0 a week later.
Result for Spain
- 12 Jun 2022Spain v CzechiaNations League, Málaga2–0W
- 5 Jun 2022Czechia v SpainNations League, Prague2–2D
- 13 Jun 2016Spain v CzechiaEuro 2016, Toulouse1–0W
Every meeting our database holds (three). OddsIntel match database, read 1 Oct 2026.
Numbers that matter
Goals scored per game: Spain 2.1, Czechia 1.7 (higher is better)
Spain have scored 21 in their last ten, Czechia 17, six of them against Gibraltar.
Goals conceded per game · fewer is better: Spain 0.4, Czechia 1.5 (lower is better)
The gap behind our call: Spain kept seven clean sheets in ten. Czechia kept one, against Gibraltar.
Wins: Spain 9.0, Czechia 3.0 (higher is better)
Spain have won nine in a row. Czechia's three wins came against Gibraltar, Kosovo and Guatemala.
Last ten games each, all competitions. OddsIntel match database, read 1 Oct 2026.
Our call, explained
We have Spain winning 2–0. They have won nine in a row and kept seven clean sheets in ten, and Czechia have scored three goals in their last five and won none of them. Spain have scored two or more in six of their last ten, and we expect two here, with Czechia kept out.
The risk to this call is on both sides. Spain conceded in both Nations League games, three goals in all, so a Czechia goal is possible, and Krejčí, who started at centre-back on Tuesday, has three in ten. And five of Spain's nine straight wins were by a single goal, so these games stay tight, and one Czechia goal could make it a draw. If we're wrong, we think a draw is likelier than a Czechia win.
Updates
Nothing has changed since we published. Next: team news once it is confirmed, the confirmed line-ups about an hour before kick-off, and the result after full time.