Scotland enters this group stage fixture against Haiti as the favorite, holding a 99-point ELO advantage (1832 vs 1733). Our blended model gives Scotland a 51% chance of victory, while the market consensus places them higher at 66%. A notable 10-point disagreement exists regarding Haiti's prospects, with our model assigning them 23% and the market only 13%. Watch for Scotland's top asset, valued at €200M, as a potential difference-maker. Model leans Scotland at 51%, but the draw is live at 26%.