Questions
Plain answers, including the uncomfortable ones. Every number lives on the page that computes it; the answers link there.
The record
Do you beat the bookmakers?
Not in a way we can show yet. Our aim is to beat the sharpest bookmaker's price, the one professional bettors watch most. Every figure we publish comes with a 95% range, and as long as that range is wide, luck can't be ruled out. The more picks we settle, the clearer it gets.
Why do you publish your losses?
Because a record without its losses can't be checked. Every settled pick stays in the ledger, won or lost, and strategies we retired stay counted in the totals of everything we have tested.
Which picks count in the headline figure?
Every pick of today's strategies that was logged before kick-off. A pick logged after the match started never counts, and neither does one we took out after a price re-check. Each of those is listed with its reason on the corrections page.
What does the 95% range mean?
It is the spread of results you could realistically expect from the same method with the same number of picks. If the range includes zero or a loss, the result so far could be luck. It narrows as more picks settle.
Checking a pick
How do I know a pick wasn't added later?
Since 28 September 2026 every public pick is sealed before the match by an independent timestamp authority (DigiCert), using its own clock. After kick-off the pick and its seal are published, and you can check any of them in your browser or with one command. Earlier picks are timed by our own database, and the ones we posted to Telegram also carry Telegram's post time.
What exactly is sealed?
The match, the market, the selection, the price we grade the pick at, and the time we made it. We turn those into a SHA-256 fingerprint and only that fingerprint is sent to the timestamp authority. Change one character of a pick and the fingerprint no longer matches the seal.
Can you delete a bad pick?
We can take a pick out of the record, for example when its price fails a re-check, but we can't make it disappear: it stays on the corrections page with its reason, and a sealed pick stays in the published seal files. That is the point of sealing.
The picks
Are the picks free?
Yes. Every public pick is free, on the picks page and in our Telegram channel.
How are the picks made?
Three methods, and every pick says which one it comes from. Sharp-line and consensus picks use no prediction model: they need a price at least 3% better than a fair price with the bookmaker's margin removed, set either by one sharp bookmaker or by several agreeing ones. Model picks come from our own probability model.
Which odds do you use?
The best price across the bookmakers we track at the moment the pick was logged, not a better price found later. Your own bookmaker may offer a little less, which lowers your return. Each pick also shows the lowest price at which it still makes sense.
What stake should I use?
Our figures use the same flat stake on every pick, with no compounding. The stake selector only rescales our own results so you can read them in euros. Use an amount you can afford to lose many times over: long losing runs happen even when a method works.
What does a bad run look like?
The performance page shows our worst drawdown and longest losing run at the stake you choose. Look at those before you follow any pick.
Staying safe
Is this betting advice?
No. These are our own picks and their full record. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and only if you are 18 or over. If betting stops being fun, get help at BeGambleAware.