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Paris FC vs Monaco: Paris Brunner arrives at Jean-Bouin to end Paris FC's perfect run against them

Margus Sellin5 min read

Ligue 1 · Matchday 9
Paris FC
Our call
1–1
Monaco
Kick-off
Venue
Stade Jean-Bouin, Paris

Our call: a draw, 1–1

Brunner should beat Paris FC's centre-backs once, and Sinayoko gives a side unbeaten at home in the league its reply.

We'll mark this call after full time.

Logged 29 Oct, 19:16 UTC, never edited.

In 30 seconds

  • Monaco are fourth on 15 points, Paris FC sixth on 14: a home win takes Paris FC above them.
  • Paris FC were without Jonathan Ikoné at Lens; Monaco's Ansu Fati is reported out with a hamstring injury.
  • Brunner will score at Jean-Bouin, but Monaco still leave without a win.

The story

Paris FC played Monaco twice in Ligue 1 last season and won both: 1–0 in Monaco on 1 Nov 2025, then 4–1 at home on 10 Apr 2026. Monaco arrive a point ahead of them and the better side over their last ten, but that is the record Filipe Luís's side has to change at Stade Jean-Bouin on Sun 1 Nov.

Monaco drew 1–1 at home with Lille on Sun 25 Oct, and their coach said it felt like two points lost: Lille were down to ten men from the 66th minute. Worse, Ansu Fati lasted about a quarter of an hour before going off with what is reported as a left hamstring injury. Monaco's player in form is Paris Brunner, back from a league suspension against Lille and named the club's player of the month for October, his third in a row.

Liam Rosenior's Paris FC lost 2–1 at Lens on Sat 24 Oct after leading at half-time through Luca Koleosho, six days after a 4–3 win over Rennes at Jean-Bouin. At home in the league they have not lost this season: three wins and a draw.

This decides it: whether Diego Coppola and Paris FC's back four can hold Brunner to a single chance. We think he takes that one, and that Sinayoko answers.

Form

Paris FC

Both defeats in this run came away from home.

Monaco

Two wins in Europe, but no win in their last three league games.

The games, with scores
Paris FC24 Octat LensL1L 1–2
18 Octv RennesL1W 4–3
10 Octat LorientL1L 0–1
19 Sepv StrasbourgL1W 2–1
12 Sepv LyonL1D 0–0
Monaco25 Octv LilleL1D 1–1
22 Octv SC FreiburgUECLW 3–0
18 Octat LorientL1L 0–1
15 Octat CSKA SofiaUECLW 2–1
10 Octv ToulouseL1D 2–2

Latest first. Latest on the left. L1 = Ligue 1, UECL = Conference League. OddsIntel match database, read 28 Oct 2026.

↑ Our call

Team news

Jonathan Ikoné · Paris FCinjured before the trip to Lens on 24 Oct, with no update since. He did not start there, so the attack is unchanged if he misses out. (reported)Doubtful
Sangui · Paris FCalso injured before Lens, with no return date given; not in the last XI either. (reported)Doubtful
Ansu Fati · Monacoa left hamstring injury against Lille, reported as about six weeks out; the club has not confirmed it. Mathys Detourbet replaced him that day, so Brunner may need a new partner up front. (reported)Out
Eric Dier, Stanis Idumbo · MonacoDier with a thigh problem since mid-October, Idumbo with a hip-flexor injury; both missed Lille and neither is in Monaco's last XI. (reported)Doubtful

Checked Thu 29 Oct 18:00 UTC: parisfc.fr (Lens report, 25 Oct), footeo (Paris FC's absentees before Lens, 24 Oct), asmonaco.com (Lille report, 25 Oct; Diop, 26 Oct), Le Petit Lillois (Filipe Luís on Dier and Idumbo, 24 Oct; Fati, 27 Oct, from Nice-Matin) and Culturap (Fati, 27 Oct). Reported means the club has not yet confirmed it for this match. Line-ups: confirmed about an hour before kick-off; they go under Updates. We don't publish guessed XIs.

Edan Diop, with 2 goals in Monaco's last ten, started the Lille game on the bench, came on at half-time and scored the equaliser, so he may well start here. Brunner and Lassine Sinayoko both started their sides' last games.

Both last XIs on a pitch

Monaco 4-4-2 · v Lille, 25 Oct

  1. Hrádecky
  2. VandersonTezeSanéNazinho
  3. CoulibalyZakariaCamaraGolovin
  4. Brunner (key battle)Fati
  1. Sinayoko
  2. KoleoshoPagisKebbal
  3. Lees-MelouLopez
  4. CamaraCoppola (key battle)OtávioMbow
  5. Nkambadio

Paris FC 4-2-3-1 · at Lens, 24 Oct

Both sides' last XIs (24 and 25 Oct), not a guess at the next ones. OddsIntel match database, read 28 Oct 2026; the shapes and the order inside each line are our reading.

Who to watch

The duel to watch: Paris Brunner against Diego Coppola. Brunner led Monaco's line against Lille; Coppola was one of the centre-backs Paris FC started at Lens. If Coppola can stay tight to him, Monaco have little else up front without Fati; if Brunner gets half a yard, he has shown all autumn that he will take it.

Monaco

Paris Brunner

Monaco's top scorer in their last ten, and the club's player of the month for October.

7
goals, Monaco's last 10

Paris FC

Lassine Sinayoko

Paris FC's top scorer in their last ten; he set up Koleosho's goal at Lens.

6
goals, Paris FC's last 10

Monaco

Edan Diop

Came off the bench to equalise against Lille and could start if Fati is out, as reported.

2
goals, Monaco's last 10

Player goals count only where we hold a named scorer: each side's last ten games, all competitions. OddsIntel match database, read 28 Oct 2026.

Head-to-head

Every meeting we hold (2, back to 2025).

Paris FC v Monaco 4–110 Apr 2026Ligue 1✓ W
Monaco v Paris FC 0–11 Nov 2025Ligue 1✓ W

Every meeting we hold (2, back to 2025). Result for Paris FC. Every meeting we hold (2, back to 2025). OddsIntel match database, read 28 Oct 2026.

↑ Our call

Numbers that matter

Paris FCMonaco

Goals scored, last ten: Paris FC 15, Monaco 19 (higher is better)

Monaco ahead; Paris FC's ten include two August friendlies in which they scored 2.

Goals conceded, last ten · fewer is better: Paris FC 16, Monaco 9 (lower is better)

Monaco's defence is the steadier, though 7 of Paris FC's 16 came in those two friendlies.

Games without scoring, last ten · fewer is better: Paris FC 4, Monaco 1 (lower is better)

Monaco's one blank was at Lorient on 18 Oct; Paris FC drew two of theirs 0–0.

Last ten games each, all competitions (Paris FC's include two club friendlies). OddsIntel match database, read 28 Oct 2026.

Our call, explained

Our call: a draw, 1–1. Over ten games Monaco are the better team, and Brunner is the reason: he has scored more than a third of their goals in that run, and Paris FC let in two at Lens on 24 Oct. We expect him to score. But Paris FC are a different side at Jean-Bouin, and Monaco have to rebuild their attack if Fati is out, as reported. Sinayoko and Koleosho are enough to find one goal.

Where this could go wrong. Monaco scored in nine of their last ten, and if Brunner and Diop both get going, they could win by two. The other way, Paris FC have scored in three of their four home league games this season, and if Sinayoko and Koleosho both get going they could win it outright.

Updates

Nothing has changed since we published. Next: Filipe Luís's press conference on Fri 30 Oct, then confirmed line-ups, about an hour before kick-off.

Data note: results, scorers, the table and line-ups from our database, read 28 Oct 17:40 UTC, so the counts run to both sides' games on 24 and 25 Oct. A player goal count leaves out any goal whose scorer we do not hold (2 of Paris FC's 15 and 1 of Monaco's 19 in their last ten). Team news and match details from parisfc.fr, asmonaco.com, footeo, Le Petit Lillois and Culturap.

Our call was timestamped by an independent service before kick-off, Thu 29 Oct, 19:20 UTC.

How the timestamp works

Timestamped before kick-off by an independent service (DigiCert, RFC 3161), Thu 29 Oct, 19:20 UTC. The call file is the exact version that was timestamped. The file with our call and its timestamp token: call file · timestamp. Its fingerprint (sha256):

03dafb078a501c9f271611e69874b5e768f0205c18552959c01fd86550331158

Our calls so far

Every call
calls right
28/44
home win every time
19/44
Small sample: 44 games

Keep reading

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