Paraguay

Group CFIFA rank: —

Model ELO

1808

Group C4 teams · 6 fixtures

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1USA	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2Australia	0	0	0	0	0	0

Fixtures

3 matches

4–1

USA

Paraguay

43%·29%·28%

Recent form

last 6 internationals

L1-4at USA
W4-0vs Nicaragua
W2-1at Mexico
L1-2at USA
L

AI summary for Paraguay arrives before the tournament — strengths, weaknesses, key players.

AI preview

The 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage fixture between USA and Paraguay at SoFi Stadium presents a clear disparity according to our data. Our model, a blend of our proprietary and market analysis, gives USA a 43% chance of victory, with a 29% probability for a draw and 28% for Paraguay. This aligns closely with market consensus, which places USA at 42%, draw at 29%, and Paraguay at 29%. USA's International ELO rating (1903 vs 1808) and a squad market value that is 363.8 times greater (€386M vs €1M) highlight their significant advantage. Watch for how Paraguay's defense, despite a lower market value and star player at €300k, manages the pressure from USA's higher-priced talent. Model leans USA at 43%, but the draw is live at 29%.